Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Modena		Siena

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.75	Watch
	1.45	3.7	6
	1.43	3.55	6.6
	1.43	4.29	6.87
	1.44	3.6	7.5
	1.43	4	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	3.82 ↑ (3.64)	7.05 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
63.4%

Draw
23.7%

Siena
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25.5%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Modena - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 12).

Modena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Siena has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Modena is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Modena to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Carrarese - Modena	2:3 ✺
06.03.22	Modena - Olbia	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Modena - Pescara	1:0 ✺
23.02.22	Teramo - Modena	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Viterbese - Modena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Pescara - Siena	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Siena - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
24.02.22	Carrarese - Siena	3:1 ✺
21.02.22	Virtus Entella - Siena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.21	Siena - Modena	1:2
Italian Serie B
03.05.14	Siena - Modena	1:3
30.11.13	Modena - Siena	1:1

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