Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Modena		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3	4.1
	2	3	4.2	Watch
	2.13	3.1	4.25
	2.04	3.03	4.36	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.04	3.06	4.26	Watch
	2	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.07 ↓ (3.27)	4.11 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Modena
46.4%

Draw
30.7%

Cittadella
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Modena - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 23. Caldara M. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 6. Magnino L. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. 10. Palumbo A. 29. Cotali M. 11. Mendes P. 90. Abiuso F.	78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 2. Salvi A. 8. Amatucci F. 23. Branca S. (C) 18. Tessiore A. 16. Vita A. 7. Pandolfi L. 91. Ravasio M.
Substitutes
5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 31. Botteghin E. 21. Bozhanaj K. 33. Cauz C. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 18. Di Pardo A. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 1. Sassi J. (G)	5. Casolari F. 10. Cassano C. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 29. Djibril A. 32. Masciangelo E. 30. Negro S. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 22. Scquizzato E. (G)
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ravasio M. ⚽,
26', Tessiore A. 🟨,
27', Angeli M. 🟨,
44', Pavan N. 🟨,
45+2', Santoro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caldara M. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
46', Santoro S. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
46', Abiuso F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
46', Tessiore A. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
49', Gerli F. 🟨,
64', Pandolfi L. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
69', Magnino L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
77', Maniero L. 🟨,
79', Vita A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
81', Branca S. 🟨,
83', Ravasio M. ↓, Casolari F. ↑,
83', Branca S. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
83', Cotali M. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
86', Zaro G. 🟨,
90+2', Amatucci F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cittadella have a series of guest games.

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Modena won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
27.08.24	Frosinone - Modena	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Modena - Bari	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Napoli - Modena	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Modena - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bassano Virtus - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Cittadella - Modena	1:1
16.12.23	Modena - Cittadella	1:1
02.04.23	Modena - Cittadella	0:0
05.11.22	Cittadella - Modena	0:0
17.01.15	Cittadella - Modena	1:1
01.09.14	Modena - Cittadella	1:1
08.02.14	Cittadella - Modena	0:1

Upcoming Matches