The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Frosinone 33%
Draw 29.8%
Modena 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
26.7%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
26.1%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
50%
20%
Frosinone - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% โ 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 21. Oyono J. 6. Gelli J. 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. (C) 92. Kone B. L. 14. Calo G. 7. Ghedjemis F. 8. Koutsoupias I. 17. Kvernadze G. 9. Raimondo A.
1. Chichizola L. (C) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 5. Sersanti A. 8. Santoro S. 6. Magnino L. 98. Zanimacchia L. 23. Di Mariano F. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 19. Corrado N. 18. Grosso F. 5. Marchizza R. 32. Masciangelo E. 24. Ndow A. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 27. Raychev A. 1. Sherri A. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
78. Bagheria F. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 10. Caso G. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 18. Pyyhtia N.
Coaches
Alvini M.
Sottil A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Koutsoupias I. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Calo G. ⚽, Koutsoupias I. (A),
55', Magnino L. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
55', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Zampano F. ⚽,
63', Calo G. 🟨,
67', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
67', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
67', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
68', Kone B. L. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
73', Kvernadze G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
77', Sersanti A. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
84', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
85', Oyono J. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
89', Chichizola L. 🟨,
90+2', Cichella M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Massolin Y. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
90+8', Zilli M. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2.
In recent matches, Frosinone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Modena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Frosinone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Muscle Injury)
Biraschi D.
(Knee Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Gori L.
(Knee Injury)
Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
Monterisi I.
(Muscle Injury)
Oyono A.
(Red Card)
Selvini A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Modena: Cauz C.
(Inactive)
Cotali M.
(Inactive)
Gerli F.
(Inactive)
Pergreffi A.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).