Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arezzo		Modena

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.9
	3.75	2.9	2
	4	3	1.9
	3.85	2.8	2
	4.18	3.05	2.02
	4.2	2.9	2
	3.82	3.13	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.71)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
23%

Draw
30.7%

Modena
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

30.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.2%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Arezzo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Modena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.20	Fermana - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
02.12.20	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
28.11.20	Imolese - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
25.11.20	Mantova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
05.12.20	Modena - Fermana	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
16.11.20	Mantova - Modena	0:0 ✺
11.11.20	Modena - Carpi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Arezzo - Modena

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arezzo - Modena Predictions

Preview

Form

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