Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Modena		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	12
	1.17	5.2	12.5
	1.15	5.8	13
	1.16	5.65	12.33
	1.22	4.6	13
	1.23	5.35	12.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	5.31 ↑ (4.21)	12.51 ↑ (8.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
75.8%

Draw
17%

Pontedera
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.5%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

20.6%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Modena - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 13).

Modena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontedera is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Modena is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.22	Gubbio - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Modena - Imolese	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Pistoiese - Modena	1:0 ✺
28.03.22	Modena - Ancona	3:0 ✺
19.03.22	Vis Pesaro - Modena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.22	Pontedera - Siena	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Teramo - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Pontedera - Olbia	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Pescara - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Pontedera - Viterbese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.12.21	Pontedera - Modena	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.08.17	Pontedera - Modena	4:0

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