Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)


	Virtus Entella		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.25	Watch
	2.17	2.9	3.25
	2.09	2.95	3.35
	2.05	3.08	3.67
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.03	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.87)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.44 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
43.6%

Draw
30.1%

Siena
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Virtus Entella - Siena Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Siena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 11).

Virtus Entella is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Siena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Siena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
11.12.22	Recanatese - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Virtus Entella - Renate	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
29.11.22	Pontedera - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.22	Siena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0 ✺
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Siena - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.22	Virtus Entella - Siena	3:1
16.10.21	Siena - Virtus Entella	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.19	Virtus Entella - Siena	0:0
25.11.18	Siena - Virtus Entella	1:0
Coppa Italia
05.08.18	Virtus Entella - Siena	3:0

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