Match Info

EGYPT: League Cup - Round 3

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium (Cairo)


	Modern Sport		Smouha

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.25	2.91	3.33	Watch
	2.26	2.83	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modern Sport
40.2%

Draw
31.6%

Smouha
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modern Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modern Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Modern Sport - Smouha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mahmoud Genesh (C) 9. Atef A. 6. Elfil A. 77. Fawzi A. 90. Hassan H. 27. Mohamed G. 19. Mosaad M. 13. Ngwem J. 4. Rizk M. 99. Youssef A. 8. Zaddem M.	16. Ashraf M. (G) 6. Amer A. 18. Amr A. 19. El Badry M. 4. Haggag B. 2. Hesham H. 8. Liadi A. 20. Magdy A. 66. Mohamed K. 21. Mostafa M. 11. Reda S. (C)
Substitutes
38. Eba A. 7. Farag W. 11. Hafez A. 26. Magdy M. (G) 2. Mansour A. 33. Rashdan A. 25. Sabry M. 21. Shaaban M. 22. Zaazaa A.	28. Abdel Naby M. 23. Amadi S. 99. Amin A. 7. Canaria 12. Hamada A. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 24. Mohamed Ragab 29. Taimour H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Atef A. ⚽, Rizk M. (A),
34', Magdy A. ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
45+5', Elfil A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Atef A. ↓, Eba A. ↑,
54', Liadi A. ↓, Amin A. ↑,
54', Mohamed K. ↓, Canaria ↑,
65', Mosaad M. ↓, Farag W. ↑,
65', Zaddem M. ↓, Zaazaa A. ↑,
78', El Badry M. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
78', Amr A. ↓, Abdel Naby M. ↑,
81', Mohamed G. ↓, Sabry M. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Hassan H. ⚽, Farag W. (A),
88', Hassan H. ↓, Mansour A. ↑,
89', Ngwem J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modern Sport won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Modern Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Modern Sport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Modern Sport won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Modern Sport won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modern Sport FC
Egyptian Premier League
11.03.25	Modern Sport - Smouha	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
07.03.25	Zamalek - Modern Sport	2:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
03.03.25	Al Masry - Modern Sport	4:2 ✺
26.02.25	Modern Sport - El Gouna	2:3 ✺
21.02.25	Pharco - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Smouha SC
Egyptian League Cup
18.03.25	Smouha - Petrojet	1:2 ✺
Egyptian Cup
15.03.25	Zamalek - Smouha	4:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
11.03.25	Modern Sport - Smouha	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Smouha - Al Masry	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
11.03.25	Modern Sport - Smouha	2:0
12.01.25	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:0
22.07.24	Modern Sport - Smouha	3:0
29.02.24	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:1
Egyptian League Cup
16.01.24	Smouha - Modern Sport	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
16.05.23	Smouha - Modern Sport	1:1
03.01.23	Modern Sport - Smouha	1:1

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