Match Info

K3 League - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Daejeon Korail		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.41	4.15	6.3	Watch
	1.45	4.3	6.58
	1.43	4.45	6.2	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.42	4.1	6.51
	1.8	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.8)	4.04 ↑ (3.45)	5.91 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
61.8%

Draw
22.7%

Mokpo City
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daejeon Korail's performance.

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mokpo City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daejeon Korail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mokpo City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 1.

Daejeon Korail has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mokpo City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Daejeon Korail has had a series of away games.

In this match, Daejeon Korail is a strong favorite.

We predict that Daejeon Korail will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Korail won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Daejeon Korail	23	12	5	6	33:18	15	41
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
16.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yangpyeong - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
17.05.26	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Mokpo City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chuncheon - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yeoju - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
27.09.25	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	0:1
01.06.25	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	3:2
20.09.24	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	0:1
26.05.24	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	1:1
03.11.23	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	3:1
10.06.23	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	2:1
28.08.22	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	0:1

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