Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kastrati V. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 17
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Molde		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	5.25
	1.58	3.9	4.8
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.61	4.3	5.24
	1.59	4.27	4.95	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.61	4.41	5.34
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.48)	4.17 ↓ (4.46)	5.07 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
58.9%

Draw
22.5%

Mladá Boleslav
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

22.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Molde - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 4. Lund V. 2. Bjornbak M. 28. Haugen K. 21. Linnes M. 20. Eriksen K. 10. Enggaard M. 16. Breivik E. 15. Kaasa M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 9. Ihler F.	29. Trmal M. (G) 14. Kral T. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 11. Fulnek J. 66. Vydra P. 12. Stransky V. 20. John S. 23. Kusej V. 9. Vojta M. 10. Ladra T.
Substitutes
26. Amundsen I. 23. Granaas S. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 32. Lervik P. (G) 31. Lovik M. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N. 18. Stenevik H.	70. Buryan J. 13. Donat D. 21. Fila L. 59. Floder J. (G) 6. Langhamer D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 18. Pulkrab M. 5. Sakala B.
Coaches
Strande T.	Brannstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Suchy M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Haugen K. (A),
35', Lund V. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Kral T. (Own goal), Eriksen K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lund V. ↓, Amundsen I. ↑,
53', Bjornbak M. 🟨,
55', Ladra T. 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Kusej V. ⚽, John S. (A),
61', 2 - 3, Vydra P. ⚽, Vojta M. (A),
64', 3 - 3, Kaasa M. ⚽, Haugen K. (A),
65', Ihler F. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
73', Vojta M. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
73', Kaasa M. ↓, Granaas S. ↑,
73', Bjornbak M. ↓, Hagelskjaer A. ↑,
83', Breivik E. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
90', Fulnek J. ↓, Donat D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 3, Stenevik H. ⚽, Gulbrandsen F. (A),
90+2', Suchy M. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,

Preview

Molde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mladá Boleslav is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Molde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mladá Boleslav have a series of home games.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Muscle Injury) Oyvann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kostka D. (Injury) Kozel D. (Injury) Masek L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	HJK - Molde	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.12.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	1:0 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Molde - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Molde - Brann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLW
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
15.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
08.12.24	Dynamo České Budějovice - Mladá Boleslav	0:4 ✺
05.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slovan Liberec	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Hradec Králové	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW

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