Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:45	ESPN 2
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	00:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	11:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	20:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	16:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	22:15	Sony LIV
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 2
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	10:45	Cinemax, HBO Max
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	21:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	02:45	TVWan Sports
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	23:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Inter
Vietnam	23:45	TV 360
International	16:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Monaco		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9
	1.36	5.25	8
	1.34	5.65	8.7	Watch
	1.35	5.7	9.11
	1.37	5.47	8.13	Watch
	1.35	5.5	8.5
	1.36	5.68	9
	1.34	5.65	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	5.49 ↑ (5.19)	8.64 ↑ (7.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
71.3%

Draw
17.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

17.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94%	5.1%	0.9%

Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (107 of 113 users predict this - 94.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.56% – 98.82%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 2. Vanderson 17. Singo W. 5. Kehrer T. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 7. Ben Seghir E. 36. Embolo B.	1. Ilic M. (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 5. Spajic U. (C) 24. Djiga N. 14. Olayinka P. 6. Krunic R. 21. Elsnik T. 15. Silas 55. Maksimovic A. 17. Bruno Duarte 9. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
42. Bouabre S. 27. Diatta K. 10. Golovin A. 21. Ilenikhena G. 16. Kohn P. (G) 50. Lienard Y. (G) 88. Magassa S. 8. Matazo E. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 41. Michal L. 20. Ouattara K. 4. Teze J.	22. Dalcio 28. Draskic V. (G) 77. Gutesa I. (G) 32. Ilic L. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 25. Lekovic S. 27. Milson 49. Radonjic N. 23. Rodic M.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Bruno Duarte ↓, Dalcio ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽, Singo W. (A),
26', Kehrer T. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Ndiaye C. (Pen),
45+3', Maksimovic A. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
60', Krunic R. ↓, Rodic M. ↑,
60', Silas ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Minamino T. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
74', Ndiaye C. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
74', Maksimovic A. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
77', Caio Henrique ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
77', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
77', Camara L. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
86', Zakaria D. ↓, Matazo E. ↑,
90+6', 5 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Monaco is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Coulibaly M. (Knee Injury) Diop E. (Broken Leg) Salisu M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A. (Knee Injury) Mimovic O. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Ivanic M. (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Rennes - Monaco	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Monaco	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Monaco - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTWW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
18.10.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički Niš	5:1 ✺
06.10.24	IMT Novi Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Inter Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	4:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.09.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Monaco - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	4:1
08.09.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Monaco	0:1

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