Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Monaco		Juventus

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95
	3.8	3.5	2.05
	4.08	3.52	2.02
	3.85	3.79	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2
	4.07	3.56	1.98
	4.2	3.4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	1.99 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
24.5%

Draw
27.1%

Juventus
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	12.9%	82.3%

Monaco - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 123 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 6 - 4.9%). Juventus will win (votes: 101 - 82.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 75.3% – 88.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Juventus (1.29) (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Juventus (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Monaco (2.74) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

EH +2 - Juventus (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Juventus (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Monaco (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 81 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 7 - 8.6%). Juventus (votes: 68 - 84%). Tie (votes: 6 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 2. Vanderson 4. Teze J. 5. Kehrer T. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 28. Coulibaly M. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer (C) 6. Kelly L. 32. Cabal J. 8. Koopmeiners T. 19. Thuram K. 7. Conceicao F. 21. Miretti F. 22. McKennie W. 20. Openda L.
Substitutes
23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 21. Michal L. 44. Nibombe S. 20. Ouattara K. 40. Stawiecki J. (G) 41. Toure I.	17. Adzic V. 27. Cambiaso A. 30. David J. 16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 4. Gatti F. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 5. Locatelli M. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 10. Yildiz K. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miretti F. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Yildiz K. ↑,
63', Kehrer T. 🟨,
71', Camara L. 🟨,
73', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
75', Cabal J. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
77', Yildiz K. 🟨,
78', Coulibaly M. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
83', Thuram K. ↓, David J. ↑,
85', Adzic V. 🟨,
89', Golovin A. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,

Preview

Monaco is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventus is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Faes W. (Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K. (Rest)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Monaco	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Monaco - Lorient	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Orleans - Monaco	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLWL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Juventus - Napoli	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Juventus - Cremonese	5:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.05.17	Juventus - Monaco	2:1
03.05.17	Monaco - Juventus	0:2
22.04.15	Monaco - Juventus	0:0
14.04.15	Juventus - Monaco	1:0

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