Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, TLN, VIVA
China	02:45	Migu
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN
Finland	21:45	DAZN, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	22:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	Sport 1
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3, Orange Futbol 3
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN


	Cagliari		Juventus

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.75	3.80	1.61
	6	3.75	1.6	Watch
	6.6	3.85	1.61
	6.2	3.79	1.62	Watch
	6.45	3.75	1.57
	6.7	4.05	1.62
	6.2	3.9	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (6.2)	3.83 ↓ (3.99)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
15.2%

Draw
25%

Juventus
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

23.8%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.9%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Cagliari - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Juventus will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Cagliari (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juventus (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 6. Winks H. 4. Romano A. 79. Massolin Y. 70. Maldini D. 31. Mendy P.	25. Vicario G. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer (C) 26. Lucumi J. 2. Celik Z. 29. Sarr P. M. 12. Douglas Luiz 7. Conceicao F. 22. McKennie W. 31. Gonzalez N. 9. Kolo Muani R.
Substitutes
24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 14. Deiola A. 39. Fadera A. 10. Fazzini J. 21. Gagliardini R. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 18. Nzola M. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 28. Sugawara Y. 32. Sulev I.	17. Alajbegovic K. 32. Cabal J. 20. Cambiaso A. 4. Gatti F. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Radu R. (G) 24. Rugani D. 27. Woltemade N. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', McKennie W. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Mendy P. (A),
45+1', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McKennie W. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
60', Massolin Y. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
60', Gonzalez N. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
64', Celik Z. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
69', Maldini D. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
69', Mendy P. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Kolo Muani R. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
83', Deiola A. 🟨,
84', Obert A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
84', Douglas Luiz ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
90+5', Spalletti L. 🟥,
90+5', Pisacane F. 🟥,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

In recent outings, Cagliari has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Juventus shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Juventus has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Juventus is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Trepy Y. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Juventus: Boga J. (Muscle Injury) Ekhator J. (Muscle Injury) Grabara K. (Knee Injury) Locatelli M. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Inactive) Thuram K. (Knee Injury) Yildiz K. (Foot Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:41 (averaging 0.6:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cagliari against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 7:13 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11:10	1	14
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 2.32% Cagliari: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWLL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Juventus - NEC Nijmegen	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1
23.02.25	Cagliari - Juventus	0:1
Coppa Italia
17.12.24	Juventus - Cagliari	4:0
Italian Serie A
06.10.24	Juventus - Cagliari	1:1
19.04.24	Cagliari - Juventus	2:2
11.11.23	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1

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