Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Totalplay, TVC Deportes 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	TV Start
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Orleans		Monaco

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.4	Watch
	7.3	5.4	1.37
	6.53	5.15	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.36
	6.97	5	1.37	Watch
	6.5	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↓ (8.18)	4.95 ↓ (5.25)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
14%

Draw
18.8%

Monaco
67.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.4%

17.7%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

15.4%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Orleans - Monaco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faham F. (G) 2. Mouton E. 3. Baudry M. 8. Giraudon J. 5. Sylla M. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 4. Obiang J. 10. Khous G. (C) 6. Morel J. 11. Lallias A. 9. El Khoumisti F.	1. Kohn P. (G) 2. Ouattara K. 5. Kehrer T. 4. Teze J. 8. Caio Henrique 3. Dier E. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 11. Idumbo S. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F. 7. Biereth M.
Substitutes
14. Ba P. I. 15. Berthier G. 17. Bozkurt C. 18. Diako M. 16. Jan C. (G) 20. Kebe K. 12. Lemaitre M. 13. Luyambula S. 19. Ribeiro A.	13. Bamba A. 14. Brunner P. 19. Ilenikhena G. 16. Lienard Y. (G) 17. Michal L. 12. Nibombe S. 15. Toure I.
Coaches
Della Maggiore H.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
29', Idumbo S. 🟨,
43', Caio Henrique 🟨,
43', Idumbo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Teze J. 🟨,
64', Obiang J. ↓, Luyambula S. ↑,
76', Lallias A. ↓, Bozkurt C. ↑,
76', Baudry M. ↓, Ba P. I. ↑,
76', Sanchez Da Silva F. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
77', Biereth M. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
79', Mouton E. 🟨,
86', Balogun F. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Ouattara K. (A),
90+4', 0 - 3, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
90+6', 1 - 3, El Khoumisti F. ⚽, Mouton E. (A),

Preview

Orleans is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monaco is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Orleans - Dieppe	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Orleans - Versailles	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Quevilly - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	L`Union Saint Jean - Orleans	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Orleans - Aubagne	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Monaco - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

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