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Current Win Probability
Monaco 71.3%
Draw 18.3%
Sparta Prague 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
22.2%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
13.2%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.
Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-32.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.9%
7.5%
7.5%
Monaco - Sparta Prague Predictions
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(90 of 106 users predict this - 84.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.1% โ 91.72%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.
Recent matches Monaco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sparta Prague is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.
Recently Sparta Prague have a series of home games.
In this match Monaco is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.