Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Monaco		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.9	6.3	Watch
	1.47	4.9	6.67
	1.45	4.84	6.39	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.51	4.88	6.86	Watch
	1.46	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.79 ↓ (4.91)	6.53 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
65.5%

Draw
19.9%

Nantes
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.3%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

16.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.2%	7.1%	19.6%

Monaco - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 41 - 73.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 61.6% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Monaco (1.15) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Nantes (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 17 - 81%). Nantes (votes: 4 - 19%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 25. Faes W. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 24. Adingra S. 9. Balogun F.	1. Lopes A. (C) 4. Sylla A. 2. Ali Youssef 6. Awaziem C. 18. Centonze F. 13. Coquelin F. 21. Kaba M. 27. Machado D. 20. Cabella R. 17. Tabibou D. 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 29. Brunner P. 28. Coulibaly M. 27. Diatta K. 31. Fati A. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 44. Nibombe S. 4. Teze J.	98. Amian K. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 3. Cozza N. 19. El Arabi Y. 37. Ganago I. 11. Guirassy B. 8. Lepenant J. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 28. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Kantari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Adingra S. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Adingra S. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Zakaria D. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
43', Akliouche M. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
45+1', Camara L. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Centonze F. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
45+3', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sylla A. ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
63', Camara L. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
65', Golovin A. 🟨,
65', Golovin A. 🟨,
66', Cabella R. ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
66', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
66', Kaba M. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
76', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
76', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
76', Vanderson ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
78', Ali Youssef ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
82', Teze J. 🟨,
87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
90+1', Sissoko I. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.

Monaco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nantes is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.

In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 3.1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
08.02.26	Nice - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Monaco - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Monaco - Juventus	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTT
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
07.02.26	Nantes - Lyon	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Nantes - Monaco	3:5
15.02.25	Monaco - Nantes	7:1
10.01.25	Nantes - Monaco	2:2
19.05.24	Monaco - Nantes	4:0
25.08.23	Nantes - Monaco	3:3
09.04.23	Nantes - Monaco	2:2
02.10.22	Monaco - Nantes	4:1

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