The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad 48.1%
Draw 27%
Monaco 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
28.5%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
20%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad's performance.
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+21.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.5%
21.4%
19%
Real Sociedad - Monaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
126 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 75 - 59.5%). Monaco will win (votes: 24 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 50.9% โ 68.1%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Real Sociedad has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (43%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (18%), has a good chance of round of 16 (63%), has a chance of qtrs (39%), has a chance of semis (23%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Monaco has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (35%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Real Sociedad will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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