Match Info

Date: 5 September 2021, Sunday


	Monagas		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.06	3.55	2.8
	2	3.55	3.05
	1.96	3.58	3.1
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.05	3.65	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
45%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Venezuela
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

20.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Venezuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monagas - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Monagas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Venezuela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Monagas won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Monagas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.08.21	Caracas - Monagas	4:2 ✺
13.08.21	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:0 ✺
05.08.21	Monagas - LALA FC	3:0 ✺
31.07.21	Universidad Central - Monagas	3:0 ✺
23.07.21	Monagas - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTWLT
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2 ✺
15.08.21	LALA FC - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
06.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
30.07.21	Mineros de Guayana - Atlético Venezuela	1:2 ✺
23.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
17.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	1:2
27.05.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	0:0
29.02.20	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	2:2
13.10.19	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	2:1
21.04.19	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	2:1
28.07.18	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	5:0
04.02.18	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	1:0

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