Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Moncarapachense		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.3	1.7	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.72
	4.69	3.66	1.78
	5	3.3	1.65
	4.4	3.48	1.71	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)	1.72 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
20.2%

Draw
26.6%

Sporting Lisbon B
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Moncarapachense - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moncarapachense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sporting B will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Lisbon B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moncarapachense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting Lisbon B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
04.12.22	Moncarapachense - Leiria	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Amora - Moncarapachense	6:0 ✺
13.11.22	Moncarapachense - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
10.12.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Amora	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Fontinhas	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
20.08.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Moncarapachense	2:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.05.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Moncarapachense	2:0
02.05.21	Moncarapachense - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2

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