Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Imortal

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.25
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.36	3.95	7.4
	1.37	4.26	9.05
	1.35	4.2	8.5
	1.4	3.95	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	7.85 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
66.1%

Draw
22.4%

Imortal
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Imortal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Moncarapachense is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.02.24	Serpa - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Elvas - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Louletano - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL
- Imortal DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.02.24	Imortal - Real SC	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Louletano - Imortal	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Imortal	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Imortal - Oriental	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
19.11.23	Imortal - Moncarapachense	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Moncarapachense - Imortal	3:0
31.10.21	Imortal - Moncarapachense	1:1

Moncarapachense - Imortal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide