Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Moncarapachense		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.62	3.14	2.1
	3.62	3.14	2.1
	3.44	3.2	2.03
	3.25	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.93)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
26.9%

Draw
28.5%

União de Santarém
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União de Santarém's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União de Santarém, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moncarapachense - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Costa L. ⚽,

Preview

Moncarapachense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches União de Santarém is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
25.05.24	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	União de Santarém - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
25.05.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	União de Santarém - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	União de Santarém - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Setúbal - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	União de Santarém - Moncarapachense	2:1

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