Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Monopoli		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.06	3.1	3.7
	2.21	2.73	4.07
	2.2	2.79	3.95	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.51	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.82)	2.95 ↓ (3.45)	3.74 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
43.8%

Draw
31.4%

Giana Erminio
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monopoli's form might have worsened.

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Monopoli - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Giana Erminio will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Giana Erminio (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 77. Viteritti O. 4. Bizzotto N. 27. Contessa S. 16. Valenti B. 19. De Risio C. 10. Bulevardi D. 32. Falzerano M. 3. Pace F. 9. Grandolfo F. 98. Bruschi N.	22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 47. Scaringi M. 6. Ferri L. 23. Caferri L. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 4. Nichetti M. 18. De Maria V. 9. Tirelli M. 19. Stuckler D.
Substitutes
12. Albertazzi M. (G) 8. Battocchio C. 23. Calvano S. 71. Cellamare C. 17. Cristallo C. 15. Greco J. 7. Pellegrini J. 21. Scipioni E. 31. Silvestris E. (G) 29. Sylla Y. 18. Virgilio P.	17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 12. Buzzi G. (G) 11. Capelli A. 13. Colombara M. 30. Ledonne N. 8. Montipo M. 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 1. Pirola C. (G) 26. Previtali N. 99. Renda F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Bizzotto N. 🟨,
22', De Maria V. 🟨,
37', Valenti B. 🟨,
43', Bizzotto N. 🟨,
45', Bulevardi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', De Maria V. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
46', De Risio C. ↓, Battocchio C. ↑,
49', Scaringi M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Bruschi N. ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Tirelli M. ⚽,
60', Scaringi M. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
61', Bulevardi D. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
61', Valenti B. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Marotta M. ⚽,
66', Grandolfo F. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
71', Tirelli M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
71', Marotta M. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Stuckler D. ⚽,
79', Caferri L. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
81', Bruschi N. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.

Monopoli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Giana Erminio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monopoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monopoli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monopoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Giana Erminio - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Monopoli - Giugliano	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Avellino - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Monopoli - Potenza	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Giana Erminio - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
07.05.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Alcione - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Giana Erminio - Monopoli	3:1

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