Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Giana Erminio		Monopoli

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.75	2.87
	2.6	2.8	3
	2.69	2.78	3
	2.66	2.81	3.01	Watch
	2.64	2.93	2.98
	2.6	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)	2.81 ↑ (2.78)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
35.8%

Draw
33%

Monopoli
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

32.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Giana Erminio aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Monopoli aligns with the current prediction.

Giana Erminio - Monopoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Monopoli (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 1 - 50%). Monopoli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 47. Scaringi M. 26. Previtali 23. Caferri L. 10. Lamesta A. 4. Nichetti M. 7. Pinto D. 18. De Maria V. 9. Tirelli M. 19. Stuckler D.	1. Vitale S. (G) 77. Viteritti O. (C) 6. Miceli M. 27. Contessa S. 16. Valenti B. 32. Falzerano M. 8. Battocchio C. 23. Calvano S. 15. Greco J. 98. Bruschi N. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 12. Buzzi G. (G) 11. Capelli A. 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 30. Ledonne N. 14. Marotta M. 8. Montipo M. 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 1. Pirola C. (G) 99. Renda F.	12. Albertazzi M. (G) 4. Bizzotto N. 10. Bulevardi D. 71. Cellamare C. 17. Cristallo C. 19. De Risio C. 3. Pace F. 7. Pellegrini J. 21. Scipioni E. 29. Sylla Y. 18. Virgilio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bruschi N. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Stuckler D. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Nichetti M. ⚽,
20', Miceli M. 🟨,
32', Miceli M. 🟥,
40', Alborghetti M. 🟨,
41', Valenti B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Calvano S. ↓, Bizzotto N. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Lamesta A. ⚽,
66', Greco J. ↓, De Risio C. ↑,
66', Falzerano M. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
67', Pinto D. ↓, Marotta M. ↑,
67', Tirelli M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
74', Bruschi N. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
74', Viteritti O. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
78', Lamesta A. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
89', De Maria V. ↓, Ferri L. ↑,
89', Caferri L. ↓, Renda F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Giana Erminio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monopoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Giana Erminio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Alcione - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTTW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Monopoli - Giugliano	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Avellino - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Monopoli - Potenza	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLW

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