Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Alcione		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.58	2.72	2.98	Watch
	2.9	2.68	3.37
	2.59	2.67	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.9
	2.82	2.57	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.56)	2.62 ↓ (3.11)	3.05 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
34.7%

Draw
35.1%

Giana Erminio
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Alcione - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Giana Erminio (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 25. Pirola F. 65. Giorgeschi S. 7. Renault G. 18. Lopes E. 23. Galli G. 21. Olivieri D. 70. Bright K. 10. Pitou J. 9. Plescia V.	1. Zenti A. (G) 26. Previtali 6. Ferri L. 19. Duca T. 33. Albertini A. 5. Berretta A. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 29. Samele L. 11. Galeandro A.
Substitutes
81. Gallazzi F. 33. Invernizzi A. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 11. Morselli F. 8. Muroni M. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 32. Tordini M.	32. Azzolari E. 18. Cannistra P. 13. Colombara M. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 22. Mazza A. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A. 90. Vitale V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Duca T. 🟨,
45+2', Plescia V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Berretta A. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
46', Duca T. ↓, Cannistra P. ↑,
46', Galli G. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
53', Ferri L. 🟨,
63', Pitou J. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
63', Lopes E. ↓, Invernizzi A. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Invernizzi A. ⚽,
76', Albertini A. ↓, Occhipinti E. ↑,
76', Galeandro A. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
81', Renda F. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
88', Bright K. ↓, Miculi A. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Alcione is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giana Erminio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Giana Erminio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
19	Giana Erminio	9	0	5	4	8:12	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Inter U23 - Alcione	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 TWWTW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.25	Giana Erminio - Alcione	1:1
25.04.25	Alcione - Giana Erminio	2:2
14.12.24	Giana Erminio - Alcione	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Giana Erminio - Alcione	2:1

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