Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Avellino		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.1	4.3
	1.81	3.15	4.1
	1.76	3.23	4.97
	1.78	3.1	5
	1.79	3.24	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)	4.6 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
51.3%

Draw
28.8%

Paganese
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

17.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avellino - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Avellino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.21	Catania - Avellino	2:2 ✺
17.10.21	Fidelis Andria - Avellino	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	2:1 ✺
30.09.21	Avellino - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWLT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.21	Paganese - Potenza	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Paganese	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Campobasso - Paganese	2:0 ✺
29.09.21	Paganese - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.03.21	Avellino - Paganese	2:0
11.11.20	Paganese - Avellino	1:1
26.02.20	Avellino - Paganese	1:0
13.10.19	Paganese - Avellino	3:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.19	Paganese - Avellino	2:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
21.01.13	Paganese - Avellino	4:1

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