Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Atalanta U23		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.57	3.95	5.26
	1.67	3.91	4.50	Watch
	1.51	4.05	5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	5.05 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
58.6%

Draw
23.1%

Picerno
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Atalanta U23 - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (C) 18. Guerini A. 6. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 25. Steffanoni F. 47. Levak S. 8. Pounga D. K. 7. Manzoni A. 24. Ghislandi D. 99. Vavassori D. 9. Misitano G.	1. Summa E. (G) 5. Veltri A. 23. Granata A. 4. Frison F. 63. Pistolesi F. 6. Marino A. 99. Pugliese S. 7. Energe A. 33. Bocic M. 11. Esposito E. 19. Santaniello E.
Substitutes
4. Berto G. 94. Camara H. 14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 68. Fiogbe C. 61. Idele J. 82. Lonardo E. 80. Mencaraglia F. 2. Plaia M. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)	90. Abreu L. 77. Cardoni K. 22. Cortese S. (G) 25. Djibril M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 10. Maiorino P. 2. Perri M. 70. Petito F. 32. Ragone V. 21. Salvo G. 9. Santarcangelo A. 14. Vimercati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', Frison F. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Misitano G. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Manzoni A. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Santaniello E. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Veltri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Pounga D. K. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,
48', Esposito E. 🟨,
54', 3 - 2, Vavassori D. ⚽,
56', Bocic M. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
56', Energe A. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
62', 4 - 2, Vavassori D. ⚽,
67', Esposito E. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
67', Veltri A. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
74', Steffanoni F. 🟨,
77', 5 - 2, Misitano G. ⚽,
80', Guerini A. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
80', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
80', Abreu L. 🟨,
81', Pugliese S. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
84', Manzoni A. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
84', Steffanoni F. ↓, Idele J. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 2, Riccio L. ⚽,
90+2', Marino A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent performances by Atalanta U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Picerno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atalanta U23 is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nuova Cosenza - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Potenza - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Altamura - Picerno	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Picerno - Casertana	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWT

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