Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Picerno		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.92
	2.33	3.38	2.84	Watch
	2.32	3	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	2.99 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
39.8%

Draw
29.4%

Cavese
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

28%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Picerno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Picerno - Cavese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Marcone R. (G) 5. Veltri A. 14. Vimercati A. 4. Frison F. 63. Pistolesi F. 99. Pugliese S. 6. Marino A. 25. Djibril M. 70. Petito F. 90. Abreu L. 11. Esposito E.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 23. Munari D. 5. Awua T. 28. Macchi M. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 16. Ubaldi L.
Substitutes
30. Bianchi S. 33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 7. Energe A. 12. Esposito A. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 8. Graziani V. 10. Maiorino P. 2. Perri M. 32. Ragone V. 19. Santaniello E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 1. Summa E. (G)	8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 11. Diarrassouba A. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 13. Evangelisti N. 21. Fornito G. 82. Fusco G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 18. Piana L. 4. Suplja E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Esposito E. ⚽,
25', Djibril M. 🟨,
27', Macchi M. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Petito F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Macchi M. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
58', Sorrentino D. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Orlando F. ⚽,
68', Pistolesi F. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
68', Esposito E. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
68', Djibril M. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
72', Amerighi I. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Cionek T. ⚽,
80', Pugliese S. ↓, Graziani V. ↑,
89', Marino A. ↓, Gemignani A. ↑,
90+5', Graziani V. 🟨,
90+6', Sorrentino D. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2.

Recent form of Picerno has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cavese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Picerno	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Altamura - Picerno	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Picerno - Casertana	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Crotone - Picerno	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Cavese - Crotone	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Salernitana - Cavese	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.25	Cavese - Picerno	1:1
05.10.24	Picerno - Cavese	1:1
22.01.20	Picerno - Cavese	3:1
25.08.19	Cavese - Picerno	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.03.18	Picerno - Cavese	3:2
29.10.17	Cavese - Picerno	1:0

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