Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Monopoli		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.2
	2.42	2.92	3.46
	2.12	3.27	3.33	Watch
	2.38	2.89	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	3 ↓ (3.27)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
40.7%

Draw
31.2%

Casertana
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Monopoli - Casertana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G) 77. Viteritti O. (C) 6. Miceli M. 35. Piccinini S. 16. Valenti B. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. 21. Scipioni E. 99. Imputato A. 9. Longo S. 11. Fall M.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 4. Kontek I. 13. Bacchetti L. 33. Rocchi G. 18. Oukhadda S. 94. Liotti D. 25. Toscano M. 10. Leone K. 8. Proia F. (C) 91. Vano M. 9. Kallon Y.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 4. Bizzotto N. 37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 12. Cucinotta D. (G) 31. Oyewale S. 34. Ronco D. 33. Rossi D. 17. Tirelli M. 10. Volpe G. 45. Yeboah P.	51. Arzillo V. 20. Bentivegna A. 90. Casarotto M. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 16. Pezzella S. 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Longo S. ⚽,
37', Miceli M. 🟨,
45+5', Toscano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kontek I. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
60', Toscano M. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
60', Kallon Y. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽,
70', Fall M. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
71', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
77', Leone K. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
84', Scipioni E. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
86', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
90+3', Longo S. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Monopoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monopoli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monopoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Monopoli - Potenza	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Monopoli - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Crotone - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Monopoli - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.25	Casertana - Catania	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Salernitana - Casertana	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Casertana - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Picerno - Casertana	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Casertana - Casarano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.03.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:0
09.11.24	Casertana - Monopoli	0:0
06.01.24	Monopoli - Casertana	1:2
27.09.23	Casertana - Monopoli	1:1
15.04.21	Monopoli - Casertana	0:1
07.12.20	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1
08.03.20	Monopoli - Casertana	0:1

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