Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Montañesa		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.77	3.15	4.26
	1.78	3.15	4.27
	1.75	3.34	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	4.28 (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
51.2%

Draw
27.8%

Vilafranca
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vilafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Montañesa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montañesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Montañesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	LEscala - Montañesa	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Montañesa - Girona B	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Tona - Montañesa	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Montañesa - Reus FC Reddis	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Rapitenca - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Vilassar de Mar - Vilafranca	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Vilafranca - LEscala	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Girona B - Vilafranca	7:3 ✺
11.02.24	Vilafranca - Tona	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Reus FC Reddis - Vilafranca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Vilafranca - Montañesa	0:0
15.01.23	Vilafranca - Montañesa	1:1
18.09.22	Montañesa - Vilafranca	4:1
13.02.21	Vilafranca - Montañesa	7:0

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