Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Montalegre		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.75
	1.61	3.6	4.75
	1.56	4.22	5.74
	1.53	4.05	5.4	Watch
	1.57	4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.22)	3.87 ↑ (3)	4.87 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montalegre
57.3%

Draw
23.8%

Canelas
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montalegre's performance.

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Montalegre - Canelas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montalegre will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Canelas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Montalegre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Canelas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montalegre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
12.02.23	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Montalegre - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
13.01.23	Montalegre - Sanjoanense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTW
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.23	Canelas - Sanjoanense	2:3 ✺
04.02.23	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Canelas - Anadia	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Fafe - Canelas	0:2 ✺
14.01.23	Canelas - Braga B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.11.22	Canelas - Montalegre	1:1
27.02.22	Canelas - Montalegre	1:2
05.12.21	Montalegre - Canelas	0:2

Montalegre - Canelas