Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.75	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.4	4.77	7.6
	1.41	4.78	7.6
	1.36	4.4	7.2
	1.4	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.53 ↑ (3.75)	7.16 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
66.8%

Draw
20.4%

Canelas
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 20. Moura M. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 77. Andrade D. 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 90. Santos J. 9. Monteiro T. 30. Feliz	80. Miguel B. (G) 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 3. Bastos V. 4. Carvalho A. 49. Silva J. 30. Santos D. M. 6. Luan 10. Sousa C. 14. Doukoure H. 28. Tank A. 90. Gabriel Tigrao
Substitutes
22. Bruninho 27. Ca L. 14. Lemos I. M. 18. Pereira G. 11. Pereira M. 26. Rosas P. 13. Takahashi K. 2. Ze Diogo	18. Dani 77. Duarte M. 23. Emanuel 88. Leite R. 98. Lourenco O. 1. Matos J. (G) 20. Ribeiro F. 66. Soares J. 11. Sousa A.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Felgueiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Canelas have a series of home games.

In this match Felgueiras is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.23	Trofense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Felgueiras - Varzim	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Felgueiras - Arouca	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.10.23	Vianense - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- CF Canelas 2010
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Canelas - Marítimo	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.23	Canelas - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Anadia - Canelas	1:4 ✺
29.10.23	Canelas - Fafe	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Canelas - Chaves	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 62.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
20.08.23	Canelas - Felgueiras	0:8
04.02.23	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:1
22.10.22	Canelas - Felgueiras	2:2
22.01.22	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:1
02.10.21	Canelas - Felgueiras	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.01.20	Felgueiras - Canelas	2:0
18.08.19	Canelas - Felgueiras	1:1

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