Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paredes		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.3	3.18	3.4
	2.21	3.13	3.28	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.66)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	3.15 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
41.6%

Draw
29.3%

Montalegre
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

31.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paredes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Paredes is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Montalegre is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Paredes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montalegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paredes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paredes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.23	Sanjoanense - Paredes	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Paredes - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	Anadia - Paredes	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Paredes - Fafe	0:1 ✺
23.01.23	Braga B - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWLW
- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.23	Montalegre - Canelas	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Montalegre - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.22	Montalegre - Paredes	0:0

Paredes - Montalegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide