Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.15	3.58
	2.25	3.17	3.16	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.13	3.32	3.37
	2.2	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	3.19 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
41.8%

Draw
29.6%

São João de Ver
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Braga B - São João de Ver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 82. Costa G. 89. Duarte A. 61. Ferreira T. 60. Lomba J. 76. Marques T. 11. Merheg S. J. 53. Noro J. 81. Pascoal F. 80. Vasconcelos (C) 95. Vidigal S.	65. Didi (G) 6. Barbosa D. (C) 20. Campas T. 7. Erick Gabriel 23. Monteiro J. 4. Morais B. 17. Pereira N. 11. Rai Nascimento 21. Rui Bruno 29. Valente R. 55. Vilela M.
Substitutes
47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 92. Gil A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 90. Luisinho 63. Moraes G. 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 96. Sousa A.	99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 10. Castro J. 37. Firmino H. 16. Jesse 5. Jota 9. Marques P. 3. Serrao J. 33. Washington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rai Nascimento ↓, Ca L. ↑,
61', Ferreira T. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
67', Vasconcelos ↓, Mordomo R. ↑,
67', Merheg S. J. ↓, Moraes G. ↑,
76', Barbosa D. ↓, Washington ↑,
76', Campas T. ↓, Firmino H. ↑,
76', Pereira N. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Morais B. ⚽,
86', Lomba J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
86', Vidigal S. ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
87', Morais B. ↓, Serrao J. ↑,
90', Marques T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Braga B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

São João de Ver - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWWL
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1
17.01.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:0
25.10.25	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:0
12.04.25	Braga B - São João de Ver	3:3
15.03.25	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:0
10.11.24	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1
10.08.24	Braga B - São João de Ver	2:0

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