Match Info

Date: 7 December 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Montana		Tsarsko Selo Sofia

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.75
	2	3.25	3.4
				Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.55
	2.14	3.17	3.82
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	3.57 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
45.1%

Draw
28.9%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

20.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tsarsko Selo Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tsarsko Selo Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	8.8%	26.5%

Montana - Tsarsko Selo Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Tsarsko Selo will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montana: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group) and 11 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group)).

Montana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tsarsko Selo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tsarsko Selo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tsarsko Selo have a series of guest games.

Montana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Montana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.11.20	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Montana - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
30.10.20	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	2:2 ✺
25.10.20	Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
18.10.20	Cherno More Varna - Montana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLL
- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.12.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0 ✺
23.11.20	Arda Kardzhali - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	CSKA Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
20.10.20	Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Montana	0:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.03.19	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Montana	1:0
17.09.18	Montana - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:0
23.04.18	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Montana	1:1
13.10.17	Montana - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.10.26	Fratria - Montana	✺

Montana - Tsarsko Selo Sofia