Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Referee: Kamimura A. (Jpn)


	Montedio Yamagata		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.77
	4	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.18	3.84	1.84
	4.19	3.84	1.85
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	3.93	3.68	1.81	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.85)	3.64 ↓ (3.64)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
22.9%

Draw
25.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.6%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 3. Kumamoto Y. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 2. Yoshida T. 7. Takae L. 18. Minami S. 25. Kokubu S. 37. Sugiyama N. 36. Takahashi J. 10. Kida R.	57. Gonda S. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 4. Hasukawa S. 14. Yamahara R. 13. Miyamoto K. 71. Nakamura R. 11. Lucas Braga 19. Matsuzaki K. 41. Shirasaki R. 27. Gunji R.
Substitutes
9. Arita R. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 42. Issaka Z. 17. Kato C. 8. Konishi Y. 14. Sakamoto K. 6. Yamada T.	30. Chiba K. 5. Kitazume K. 44. Motoki N. 25. Naruoka H. 16. Nishizawa K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 3. Takahashi Y.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Shirasaki R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Kida R. ⚽, Takae L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gunji R. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
62', Takae L. 🟨,
66', Lucas Braga ↓, Motoki N. ↑,
69', Sugiyama N. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
69', Kokubu S. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
75', Shirasaki R. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
75', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
79', Kida R. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
79', Kumamoto Y. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
82', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
87', Yoshida T. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Takahashi J. ⚽,
90+2', Takahashi J. ↓, Arita R. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 1.

Montedio Yamagata has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shimizu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Yokohama FC - Montedio Yamagata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	JEF United Chiba - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ehime	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.11.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
09.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:0
03.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
11.09.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:1
26.03.16	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
Japan J1 League
07.11.15	Montedio Yamagata - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2
29.04.15	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:3

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