The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montedio Yamagata 38.1%
Draw 29.5%
Tochigi 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
29%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
29.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Shibuya T. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 22. Shirowa H. 49. Sakamoto K. 15. Kawai A. 7. Nakamura R. 20. Yoshio Kaina 14. Yanagimachi K. 10. Kida R. 9. Takahashi J. 24. Hiraga S.
71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 26. Tabata T. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Iwasaki H. 6. Abe K. 15. Tsutsumi H. 27. Nagai T. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 17. Sugimori K. 9. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
11. Disaro A. S. 27. Enomoto K. 1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 13. Nodake H. 29. Soma J. 21. Tanaka W. 17. Terayama T. 88. Thalisson 18. Yokoyama R.
7. Kawana R. 1. Kawata S. (G) 4. Sato S. 19. Shoji H. 88. Uchida K. 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Tsutsumi H. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Takahashi J. ⚽, Kida R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Okamoto K. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
46', Hiraga S. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Kida R. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Osone K. ⚽, Sugimori K. (A),
58', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
70', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Enomoto K. ↑,
71', Kida R. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
73', Sugimori K. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
74', Enomoto K. 🟨,
80', Kondo Y. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
80', Tsutsumi H. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
81', Tabata T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
81', Iwasaki H. ↓, Uchida K. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Disaro A. S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sato S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takahashi J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nakano K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yokoyama R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoshino H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kawai A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Osone K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Terayama T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 4.
Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tochigi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Tochigi has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Japan
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Shibuya T. (G) 
Heward-Belle T. (G) 
Thalisson 
