The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montegiorgio 29.9%
Draw 31.4%
Vigor Senigallia 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
31.3%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
29.7%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Montegiorgio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vigor Senigallia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.