Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	6.8	4.5	1.37
	8.4	4.5	1.32
	6.8	4.5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (6.23)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
12.7%

Draw
20.3%

Sambenedettese
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.4%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Vigor Senigallia - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Chiatante F. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ferrara A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Eusepi U. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Moretti F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sambenedettese is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vigor Senigallia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Vigor Senigallia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.03.25	Recanatese - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Vigor Senigallia - Teramo	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Vigor Senigallia - Fermana	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLWT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.03.25	Sambenedettese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Ancona - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sambenedettese - Isernia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.11.24	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.12.23	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:3
30.04.23	Vigor Senigallia - Sambenedettese	5:2
18.12.22	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2

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