Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Montehermoso |
|
Villafranca |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
2.98 |
2.28 |
|
 |
3.05 |
3 |
2.29 |
|
 |
3.08 |
3.05 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.9 |
3 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.09 |
2.96 |
2.28 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.05) |
3 ↑
(2.88) |
2.28 ↓
(2.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montehermoso
30% | Draw
30.2% | Villafranca
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Montehermoso aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Montehermoso - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Bora ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).Recent form of Montehermoso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villafranca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Montehermoso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 26.10.25 | Villafranca - Montehermoso | 1:0 | | 28.01.24 | Villafranca - Montehermoso | 4:0 | | 17.09.23 | Montehermoso - Villafranca | 2:0 | | 19.02.23 | Montehermoso - Villafranca | 1:1 | | 16.10.22 | Villafranca - Montehermoso | 2:2 |
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