The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Badajoz 68.4%
Draw 21%
Villafranca 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
22.8%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
21.9%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.
Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Badajoz - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pavon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, Badajoz is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
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