Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Villafranca |
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Llerenense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.58 |
2.88 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.85 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.73 |
2.83 |
2.73 |
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 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
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 |
2.65 |
2.77 |
2.67 |
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 |
2.71 |
2.71 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.45) |
2.79 ↓
(3.14) |
2.71 ↑
(2.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villafranca
33.8% | Draw
32.6% | Llerenense
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2%)Villafranca - Llerenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 43', Munoz A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1.In recent matches, Villafranca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Llerenense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 05.10.25 | Llerenense - Villafranca | 0:1 | | 17.04.25 | Villafranca - Llerenense | 1:4 | | 08.12.24 | Llerenense - Villafranca | 2:1 | | 19.03.23 | Llerenense - Villafranca | 1:0 | | 20.11.22 | Villafranca - Llerenense | 0:2 | | 14.04.22 | Llerenense - Villafranca | 1:1 | | 12.12.21 | Villafranca - Llerenense | 1:1 |
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