Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: LEAGUES CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Location: Providence Park (Portland)


	Monterrey		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.18	3.44	3.59
				Watch
	2.01	3.6	3.54	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.26)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	3.44 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
44.9%

Draw
27.8%

Portland Timbers
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Monterrey - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 4. Guzman V. 33. Medina S. 15. Moreno H. 17. Gallardo J. 11. Meza M. 27. Romo L. 5. Govea O. 8. Rojas J. 19. Cortizo J. 9. Berterame G.	31. Ivacic A. (G) 29. Mosquera J. D. 18. McGraw Z. 13. Zuparic D. 5. Bravo C. 22. Paredes C. 21. Chara D. (C) 30. Moreno S. 27. Asprilla D. 7. Boli F. 44. Loria M.
Substitutes
207. Avila A. 10. Canales S. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 204. Fimbres Ochoa I. J. 7. Funes Mori R. 25. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Gutierrez E. 210. Lopez V. 188. Ortega K. 31. Parra D. 24. Ramos C. (G) 20. Vegas S.	2. Araujo M. 36. Bilichuk R. (G) 10. Blanco S. 92. Caliskan N. 23. Chara Y. 33. Mabiala L. 15. Miller E. 99. Nathan Fogaca 11. Niezgoda J. 14. Rasmussen J. 26. Sulte H. (G)
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Savarese G.

Preview

Played on the field of the visiting team.

Monterrey in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Portland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monterrey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Monterrey: Ayala D. (Knee Injury) Williamson E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Gonzalez A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.23	Monterrey - Seattle Sounders	4:2 ✺
26.07.23	Monterrey - Real Salt Lake	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
14.07.23	Mazatlan - Monterrey	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Monterrey - Atlas	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Atlético San Luis - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT
- Portland Timbers
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.23	Tigres UANL - Portland Timbers	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0 ✺
MLS
15.07.23	Portland Timbers - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
12.07.23	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

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