Match Info

MLS

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 2
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Minnesota United		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	4.2	Watch
	1.75	4.15	4.25	Watch
	1.78	4.21	4.42
	1.72	4.21	4.26	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
	1.79	4.12	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	4.08 ↑ (3.92)	4.25 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
54.4%

Draw
23.3%

Portland Timbers
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Minnesota United - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. 5. Romero N. 3. Duncan K. 25. Triantis N. 30. Gene O. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. (C) 8. Chancalay T. 9. Yeboah K.	41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. 6. Bonetig A. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 30. Caicedo J. 99. Velde K. 10. Da Costa D. 11. Antony 9. Mora F. (C)
Substitutes
33. Chandler K. 29. Dieng M. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Hlongwane B. 2. Padelford D. 10. Rodriguez J. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 20. Trapp W.	28. Aravena A. 21. Chara D. 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 4. Miller K. 25. Muse T. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I.
Coaches
Knowles C.	Neville P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Chancalay T. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
26', Chancalay T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Chancalay T. (A),
66', Antony ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
66', Romero N. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
73', Triantis N. 🟨,
74', Gene O. ↓, Trapp W. ↑,
74', Chancalay T. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
80', Bonetig A. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
90', Pereyra J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90', Yeboah K. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.

Minnesota is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.

In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Minnesota: Boxall M. (Lower-Body Injury) Gressel J. (Toe Injury) Stroud P. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Fernandez O. (Foot Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Mosquera J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Minnesota United	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
11.04.26	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTL
- Portland Timbers
MLS
11.04.26	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Portland Timbers	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.08.25	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	1:1
19.07.25	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	1:1
29.06.24	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	3:2
18.05.24	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	2:1
01.07.23	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	4:1
20.05.23	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	0:1
10.09.22	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	1:0

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