Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Monterrey		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.43	4.6	6.5
	1.46	4.45	6.4	Watch
	1.46	4.71	7.09
	1.45	4.66	6.75	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.42	4.55	6.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.47 ↑ (4.23)	6.63 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
65.1%

Draw
20.9%

Querétaro
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

20.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Monterrey - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas L. (C) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 19. Aceves A. 3. Arteaga G. 35. Fimbres I. 30. Rodriguez J. 11. Orellano L. 8. Torres O. 194. Reyes C. 20. Djurdjevic U.	25. Allison G. (C) 12. Gomez J. 9. Reyes D. 2. Abascia L. 17. Venegas F. 21. Pena F. 4. Garcia C. 6. Homenchenko S. 7. Jhojan Julio 31. Avila A. 37. Coronel M.
Substitutes
10. Canales S. 17. Corona J. 27. de la Rosa R. 33. Medina S. 25. Mele S. (G) 192. Moxica J. 29. Ocampos L. 21. Reyes L. 251. Rojas A. 13. Salcedo C.	190. Cazares J. 22. Duarte B. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 8. Parra B. 27. Parra D. 26. Perez E. 10. Rodriguez L. 14. Unjanque J. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Torrent D.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Torres O. ↓, Canales S. ↑,
22', Venegas F. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Orellano L. ⚽, Canales S. (A),
45', Venegas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pena F. ↓, Parra D. ↑,
51', Allison G. 🟨,
60', Rodriguez J. ↓, Salcedo C. ↑,
60', Reyes C. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
67', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Canales S. ⚽, Orellano L. (A),
72', Gomez J. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
72', Jhojan Julio ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
77', Canales S. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Corona J. ⚽, Orellano L. (A),
85', Avila A. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
85', Garcia C. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
90', Salcedo C. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Orellano L. ⚽, Corona J. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monterrey is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Monterrey: Ambriz F. (Muscle Injury) Martial A. (Injury)

There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monterrey: Rodriguez J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
28.02.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	UNAM - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Monterrey - Club León	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.26	Monterrey - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Club América - Monterrey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
27.02.26	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Querétaro - Club León	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Querétaro - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.09.25	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:1
16.02.25	Querétaro - Monterrey	2:4
20.07.24	Monterrey - Querétaro	2:1
24.01.24	Monterrey - Querétaro	1:1
11.11.23	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:0
15.02.23	Monterrey - Querétaro	2:0
21.07.22	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:3

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