Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey)

Referee: Valle J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Monterrey		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	3.10	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.95
	2.18	3.45	2.90	Watch
	2.33	3.66	3.08
	2.24	3.58	3.07	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.90
	2.34	3.36	3.16	Watch
	2.27	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	3.02 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
41.6%

Draw
27.3%

Cruz Azul
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Monterrey - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 19. Aceves A. 18. Garza C. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 10. Orellano L. 17. Corona J. (C) 7. Ocampos L. 99. Cuypers H.	23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 20. Paradela J. 6. Lira E. (C) 8. Palavecino A. 19. Rodriguez C. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
14. Aguirre E. 5. Ambriz F. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 203. De Nigris A. 32. Djurdjevic U. 11. Fimbres I. 33. Medina S. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J.	60. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 55. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 7. Ibanez N. 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 2. Mozo A. 15. Orquin R. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Huiqui J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Garza C. ⚽, Corona J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orozco J. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
58', Fernandez G. 🟨,
58', Garza C. 🟨,
60', Piovi G. 🟨,
61', Aceves A. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
62', Paradela J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
62', Palavecino A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
76', Orellano L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Corona J. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
79', Marquez J. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
79', Fernandez G. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
88', Garza C. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
88', Torres O. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Monterrey could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Monterrey: Arteaga G. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Cruz Azul: Levy M. (Knee Injury) Morales A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:29 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monterrey against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Toluca - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Club América - Monterrey	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.08.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
25.08.26	Monterrey - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLW
- Cruz Azul FC
Campeones Cup
16.09.26	Inter Miami - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Cruz Azul - Club América	4:3 ✺
06.09.26	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Necaxa - Cruz Azul	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
17.03.26	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:1
10.03.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	2:3
Mexican Liga MX
28.02.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	0:2
25.10.25	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	2:0
08.03.25	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:1
13.07.24	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	0:4
19.05.24	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:2

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