Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN


	UNAM		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.48	3.45	2.68
	2.78	3.57	2.44
	2.53	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.73	3.5	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	2.57 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
36.2%

Draw
27.1%

Monterrey
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

26.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterrey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

UNAM - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Monterrey will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - UNAM (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - UNAM (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Monterrey (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Monterrey (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Monterrey (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (G) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 23. Juninho 77. Angulo A. 22. Medina A. 28. Carrasquilla A. 45. Vite P. 33. Carrillo J. 31. Morales R. 215. Azuaje A.	22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 19. Aceves A. 21. Reyes L. 8. Torres O. 5. Ambriz F. 11. Orellano L. 10. Canales S. 35. Fimbres I. 20. Djurdjevic U.
Substitutes
21. Antuna U. 8. Caicedo J. 5. Duarte R. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 30. Lopez S. 9. Martinez G. 193. Ramirez D. 19. Rivas J.	14. Aguirre E. 3. Arteaga G. 17. Corona J. 27. de la Rosa R. 25. Mele S. (G) 192. Moxica J. 29. Ocampos L. 251. Rojas A. 13. Salcedo C. 23. Sanchez L.
Coaches
Juarez E.	Torrent D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Angulo A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Angulo A. ⚽,
28', Ambriz F. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Juninho ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
65', Chavez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
65', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
72', Carrillo J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
74', Fimbres I. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
74', Orellano L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
89', Morales R. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
89', Lopez R. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 0.

UNAM is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monterrey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in UNAM: Bennevendo P. (Thigh Injury) Macias J. (Knee Injury) Trigos S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monterrey: Martial A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.61%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
13.02.26	Puebla - UNAM	2:3 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.02.26	UNAM - San Diego	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
03.02.26	San Diego - UNAM	4:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.01.26	UNAM - Santos Laguna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLW
- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Monterrey - Club León	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.26	Monterrey - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Club América - Monterrey	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
04.02.26	Xelajú - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.01.26	Monterrey - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.10.25	Monterrey - UNAM	1:1
04.05.25	Monterrey - UNAM	2:0
16.03.25	UNAM - Monterrey	1:3
01.12.24	UNAM - Monterrey	3:5
28.11.24	Monterrey - UNAM	1:0
23.10.24	Monterrey - UNAM	0:0
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.24	Monterrey - UNAM	1:2 penalties

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