Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)


	Montevideo City Torque		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.52	4	5
	1.5	4.05	5.6
	1.5	4.05	5.6
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.51	3.92	5.57	Watch
	1.51	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.5)	3.98 ↑ (3.89)	5.46 ↓ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
60.6%

Draw
22.8%

Cerrito
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

22.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Rosello G. 🟥,
72', 0 - 1, Diaz G. (Pen),
90+4', Costa S. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montevideo City won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Montevideo City is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Montevideo City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Montevideo City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
09.06.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
05.06.24	Montevideo City Torque - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Colón Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Sud América	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTTW
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.24	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Cerrito - Sud América	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	La Luz - Cerrito	6:0 ✺
26.05.24	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.10.22	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:1
Uruguay Copa
28.09.22	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.05.22	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	2:2
07.11.21	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	0:2
24.07.21	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:2

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