The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo City Torque 33.4%
Draw 30.4%
Albion Montevideo 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
28%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
27.8%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo City Torque's form might have worsened.
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albion Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo City Torque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montevideo City Torque - Albion Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez G. (G) 4. Wurth V. 27. Taran J. (C) 3. Silva K. 15. Busquets E. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 32. Caceres S. 30. Quintana J. 11. Da Silva N. 7. Andrade L.
1. Jaume S. (G) 25. Romero A. 2. Couture F. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 5. Ginella F. (C) 6. Moschion T. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 10. Airala C. 9. Lopez A. 22. Vera A.
Substitutes
23. Dure L. 24. Kagelmacher G. 18. Lecchini R. 29. Martinez F. 20. Montes G. 5. Pizzichillo F. 9. Rodriguez S. 2. Romero F. 26. Silvera F. 1. Torgnascioli F. (G)
30. Acosta B. 15. Alcoba P. 13. Lacoste P. 80. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 8. Perdomo O. 23. Perez del Castillo B. 29. Puente F. 79. Roldan N. 11. Toledo H.
Coaches
Mendez M.
Nieves F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ginella F. ⚽,
22', Wurth V. 🟥,
40', Romero A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Silva K. 🟨,
65', Romero A. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
65', Rodriguez Trezza L. ↓, Toledo H. ↑,
69', Lopez A. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
74', Busquets E. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
74', Caceres S. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
76', Moschion T. ↓, Lacoste P. ↑,
76', Alvarez J. ↓, Alcoba P. ↑,
79', Andrade L. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
79', Kociubinski B. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
82', Quintana J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Montevideo City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).