Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 15Date: 22 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Cerrito |
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Uruguay Montevideo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.10 |
3.10 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.08 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.16 |
3.2 |
3.31 |
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 |
2.19 |
3.23 |
3.29 |
 Watch |
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2.14 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.12 |
3.43 |
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 |
2.13 |
3 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
3.23 ↓
(3.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cerrito
42.6% | Draw
29.2% | Uruguay Montevideo
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Rocha ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Rocha ⚽,
- 36', Rodriguez L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Uruguay Montevideo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Uruguay Montevideo has had a series of home games. Cerrito could have a small edge in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.1:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 17 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 16.05.26 | Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito | 2:2 | | 05.04.26 | Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo | 2:1 | | 05.10.25 | Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo | 2:1 | | 12.07.25 | Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito | 0:0 | | 06.04.25 | Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo | 1:3 | | 04.12.24 | Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito | 3:1 | | 30.11.24 | Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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