The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Montevideo 44.4%
Draw 25.8%
Montevideo City Torque 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37%
26.1%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
26.3%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mejia L. (G) 37. Rodriguez L. 4. Coates S. (C) 32. Viera T. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 6. Boggio L. 23. Rodriguez L. 21. Candido C. 39. Gonzalez L. 29. Correa T. 9. Gomez M.
1. Torgnascioli F. (C) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 22. Gutierrez B. 26. Silvera F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 5. Pizzichillo F. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 7. Andrade L.
Substitutes
13. Ancheta E. 20. Botta R. 35. Clematte R. 22. Martin A. (G) 14. Martinez A. 31. Martinez R. 2. Rogel A. 8. Silva S. 11. Silvera M. 36. Zuculini B.
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J. 14. Zampieri S.
Coaches
Carreno D.
Mendez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Viera T. ⚽,
13', Obregon E. 🟨,
32', Coates S. 🟨,
36', Boggio L. 🟨,
41', Mejia L. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
43', Siles P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Gomez M. ⚽,
54', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
54', Siles P. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
60', Viera T. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez L. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
66', Boggio L. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
74', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
77', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
79', Correa T. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
79', Gomez M. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
83', Obregon E. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
83', Andrade L. ↓, Zampieri S. ↑,
87', Da Silva N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
Nacional has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Montevideo City have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nacional could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Montevideo City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nacional holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:19 (averaging 2.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.7:1.1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Montevideo City
12
8
1
3
24:13
11
25
3
Nacional
12
7
2
3
17:12
5
23
Last Results with these Odds
Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
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Uruguay
Venezuela
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Mejia L. (G) 
Rodriguez L. 
Silva K. 
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