Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Australia	09:00	beIN Connect
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	17:00	beIN Connect
Chile	19:00	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Italy	23:00	Como TV
New Zealand	11:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	17:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	19:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	17:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Montevideo City Torque		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.75	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.1
	2.12	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.14	3.08	3.85
	2.23	3.07	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.6
	2.22	3.1	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)	3.64 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
42.7%

Draw
31.3%

Defensor Sporting
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 18. Lecchini R. 9. Rodriguez S. 10. Obregon E.	12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 24. de los Santos L. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Frugone A. 6. Amaro M. 5. Barrios G. 97. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 10. Biscayzacu X. 31. Medina N. 26. Montenegro B.
Substitutes
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 29. Martinez F. 31. Munoz A. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.	20. Caballero M. 27. Juan Jorge 7. Lozano B. 9. Machado A. 1. Machado L. (G) 28. Navarro L. 4. Rodriguez G. 17. Rodriguez V. 23. Simone B. (G) 14. Sorondo F. 22. Torterolo A. 8. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Cuello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Agazzi L. 🟨,
39', Barrios G. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Romero F. ⚽,
52', Silvera F. 🟨,
58', de los Santos L. 🟨,
69', Medina N. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
69', de los Santos L. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
70', Lecchini R. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
71', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
73', Montes G. 🟨,
78', Montes G. ↓, Silva K. ↑,
82', De los Santos G. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
82', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
89', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
89', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
89', Torterolo A. 🟨,
90', Obregon E. 🟨,
90', Obregon E. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
90+4', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2.

Montevideo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Defensor Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:4 ✺
16.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
23.01.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportes Concepción	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:0
24.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	0:1
27.04.25	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguay Copa
22.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	2:3 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	2:0
05.06.23	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	1:1
04.03.23	Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting	0:3

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